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SAUDIS HAVE U.S. OVER A BARREL:
The Shifting Terms of Trade Between Grain and Oil


The Wheat-Oil Exchange Rate, 1950-2004
Year
Bushel of Wheat
Barrel of Oil
Bushels Per Barrel
U.S. Dollars (1)
Ratio
1950
1.89
1.71
1
1951
2.03
1.71
1
1952
1.93
1.92
1
1953
1.89
2.01
1
1954
1.98
2.11
1
1955
1.81
2.11
1
1956
1.84
2.11
1
1957
1.79
2.01
1
1958
1.62
2.07
1
1959
1.58
1.91
1
1960
1.58
1.85
1
1961
1.59
1.79
1
1962
1.75
1.79
1
1963
1.76
1.79
1
1964
1.84
1.79
1
1965
1.62
1.79
1
1966
1.71
1.79
1
1967
1.79
1.79
1
1968
1.71
1.79
1
1969
1.59
1.79
1
1970
1.49
1.79
1
1971
1.68
2.19
1
1972
1.90
2.44
1
1973
3.81
3.27
1
1974
4.89
11.50
2
1975
4.06
11.45
3
1976
3.62
11.55
3
1977
2.81
12.51
4
1978
3.48
12.78
4
1979
4.36
29.83
7
1980
4.70
35.71
8
1981
4.76
34.04
7
1982
4.36
31.54
7
1983
4.28
29.47
7
1984
4.15
28.55
7
1985
3.70
27.37
7
1986
3.13
14.17
5
1987
3.07
18.20
6
1988
3.95
14.77
4
1989
4.61
17.91
4
1990
3.69
22.99
6
1991
3.50
19.37
6
1992
4.11
19.04
5
1993
3.82
16.79
4
1994
4.08
15.95
4
1995
4.82
17.20
4
1996
5.64
20.37
4
1997
4.35
19.27
4
1998
3.43
13.07
4
1999
3.05
17.98
6
2000
3.10
28.23
9
2001
3.45
24.33
7
2002
4.04
24.95
6
2003
3.98
28.89
7
2004*
4.20
36.00
9
Notes: (1) Prices in current year dollars.
*Author's estimates based on April wheat and oil futures prices for 2004.
Source: Data for 1950-2003 from International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics, on-line database, updated April 2004; 2004 data are estimates based on April 2004 wheat and oil futures prices listed in Wall Street Journal, 13 April 2004.

 

See data table: World Grain and Oil Production, 1950-2003

See data table: U.S. Oil Balance, 1965-2002

See data table: U.S. Oil Balance, 1965-2002

See data table: U.S. Oil Balance, 1965-2002

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