"Attention has focused on oil insecurity, and rightly so, but it is not the same as food insecurity. An empty gas tank is one thing, an empty stomach another. And while there are substitutes for oil, there are none for food." –Lester R. Brown, Plan B 4.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization.
Stabilizing the earth’s climate depends on cutting carbon emissions fast.
Global emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2)—the principal climate-altering greenhouse gas—come largely from burning coal, oil, and natural gas.
Coal, mainly used for electricity generation, accounts for 44 percent of global fossil-fuel-related CO2 emissions.
Oil, used primarily for transportation, accounts for 36 percent of CO2 emissions from fossil fuels.
Natural gas, used for electricity and heating, accounts for the remaining 20 percent of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel burning.
Worldwide, fossil fuel subsidies topped $620 billion in 2011, while renewable energy received just $88 billion in subsidies.
Since the Industrial Revolution, the planet has warmed by roughly one degree.
2013 marked the 37th consecutive year of above-average temperatures. Fully 4 billion people alive today have never experienced a year that was cooler than last century's average.
If we continue with business as usual, burning ever more oil, coal, and natural gas, the global average temperature is projected to rise some 11 degrees Fahrenheit (6 degrees Celsius) by the end of this century.
In the last decade, daily record high temperatures outnumbered record lows in the United States two to one, and that ratio is increasing.
Crop ecologists have a rule of thumb that each 1-degree-Celsius rise in temperature above the norm during the growing season lowers wheat, rice, and corn yields by 10 percent. Field tests show that this may be conservative.
This century, as waters warm and ice continues to melt, seas are projected to rise some 2 meters (6 feet), inundating coastal cities worldwide, such as New York, London, and Cairo, and agricultural hotspots, like rice-growing river deltas.
Earth Policy Institute’s Plan B shows the steps needed to cut global carbon emissions 80 percent.
Data and additional resources available at www.earth-policy.org
Research Contact: Janet Larsen (202) 496-9290 x14 or jlarsen (at) earth-policy.org
Updated July 2014